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Day Ten ... Notes on the meeting of the CMP, 11:00

Le 16/12/2009

CMP Chair Connie Hedegaard said she would consult with representatives of all regional groups overnight to discuss the way forward in the next two days.

Chair of the AWG-KP reported that no agreement was made on the amendment of the Kyoto Protocol. The report of the three working group under the AWG-KP was forwarded to the CMP unfinished.

Brazil reported that its Head of Delegation was standing outside and not let in by the Security…

Tuvalu was disappointed about lack of progress of the AWG-KP. There had not been informal consultations on the matter of a legal text, as was promised.

South Africa (speaking for G77 + China) noted that consultations on key issues produced a recommendation that consultations on targets and level of ambitions be subject of further consultation. The text is not yet ready to receive the targets, so technical work should still be done by AGW-KP for one more day.

India stressed that balance had to be maintained between LCA and KP.

Algeria (African Group), Philippines, China, Zambia endorsed G77 view, with some delegations stressing they were willing and capable to work for one more day overnight. China added that it wished to present “perfect text” to Ministers and Heads of State.

Algeria (African Group), echoed by Oman, stressed importance of 2-track processes and 2-track outcome.

Sweden (European Union) disagreed, saying “text ready for political bargaining.” AWG-KP should not reconvene its work.

Yvo de Boer then announced that Danish Prime Minister Rasmussen will replace Ms. Hedegaard as CMP/ COP Chair, with Ms. Hedegaard continuing to convene informal consultations with parties.

 

Day Ten ... an impasse or a failure?

Le 16/12/2009

Most delegates and negotiators looked disguised and frustrated as they left in the early morning of the Day Ten to get a few minutes rest before the Tenth Day began.

Day Nine and Day Ten seemed to merge as the plenary that opened and was suspended on Day Nine was told around 6 am on Day Ten that no compromise had been reached.

Also the President and Danish Minister of Environment Connie Hedegaard was replaced as the President of COP15 by her Prime Minister, in a frantic effort to get an agreement. Ms Hedegaard will remain a Special Representative to her Prime Minister and presumably the Minister of Environment who will conduct consultations, but rumours were abound that developing states just did not trust her as a neutral negotiator. Whether the right-wing Danish Leader Lars Løkke Rasmussen will fare any better will be seen today as he tries to hash out an agreement with Heads of states and government, ministers, and negotiators.

The night before negotiations on the LCA text went on until 6am this morning. The result: very little. Positions remained unchanged, and crucial issues remain between brackets. The US still refuses to agree on 1990 as a baseline year. No progress has been made on finance and technology transfer. The text will now be passed on to the high level segment unfinished. How will the world's leaders deal with this collection of unfinished, very technical and often conflicting proposals? There is nothing to sign on to... It is difficult to see how all pieces of the puzzle will fit together, with so many pieces still missing and often not even having been properly discussed. Regional groups are now meeting to solidify positions. The CMP start at 11am, with COP following at 12am, including the High-Level Segment.

 

Day Nine ... Human rights text

Le 15/12/2009

The new draft text from the Ad Hoc Working Group on a Longterm Comprehensive Action Plan (AWG-LCA) contains human rights text in several places where the general principles of shared common vision state that human rights are violated by the adverse impacts of climate change and that states must act to prevent these adverse impacts of climate change.

This language reads:

Preambular Paragraph 6
:  Noting resolution 10/4 of the United Nations Human Rights Council on human rights and climate change, which recognizes that human beings are at the centre of concerns for sustainable development, and the importance of respecting Mother Earth, its ecosystems and all its natural beings,

Preambular Paragraph 7:  Mindful that the adverse effects of climate change have a range of direct and indirect implications for the full enjoyment of human rights, including the right to live well, and that the effects of climate change will be felt most acutely by those parts of the population that are already vulnerable owing to, youth, gender, age or disability;. 

 

 

Day Nine...what will the US do?

Le 15/12/2009

One of the biggest unanswered questions on the agenda is what will the do?

 

Today US Secretary of State (Foreign Minister) Hillary Clinton gave at least one answer in an editorial published in the New York Times. Using vague language and activist slogans she called for a strong agreement that “both complements and promotes sustainable development by moving the world toward a low-carbon economy” and provides “generous financial and technological support for developing countries.” But she gave no specifics.

 

Yesterday, several large environmental think tanks speculated that Obama had done much, but that his hands were relatively tied. They suggested we might expect more from the Congress then from administration officials. But these are the same people who until now are holding up legislation in the that would a least start to cut emissions.

 

The developed countries capitulation to the developing countries insistence on extending the Kyoto limits to new highs after 2012 seem to have indicated a new sense of urgency among states. But Clinton’s vague language indicates that American President Barak Obama hasn’t made up his mind yet as to how much he is willing to do and how much money he will put on the table to help deal with climate change.

 

Day Nine...Agreement or No Agreeement the show goes on like'business as usual'...

Le 15/12/2009

As the last real working day of COP15 starts there is a sense of despair and reconciliation in the air. It seems that despite the strong African position, the G77 is refusing to support a potential walk out. The Europeans thus seem confident that they can grid out something that they feel comfortable with.

 

 

From the bristle of activity in the British and French delegations it appears that UK Prime Minister Gordon Brown and French President Sarkozy have ordered their diplomats into action. As a result the G77, African and Small Island State diplomats look even more frustrated and some what bruised. This is likely the result of a diploma barrage of threats and enticements. It also appears that the negotiating diplomats at the Bella Center are delivering the threats more often then the enticements that are being discussed at ministerial meetings.

 

 

The African ministers met this morning and confirmed that their ‘line in the sand’ is the two-track approach, real emissions cuts, and real financing. None of these seem to be forthcoming from European governments that are barely inching above their ‘de minimus’ offer of 30 billion fast track financing and no long-term commitment.

 

 

The G77 did not all fall behind the African proposed strong stand as not all states favoured a threatened walk out. Nevertheless, the lack of unity in the G77 has released states from a single G77 line and appears to have meant that the majority of G77 states are supporting the African Group.

 

 

Aside from the negotiations there is a frenzy of side events and media events taking place.

 

 

Nord Sud XXI is hosting an event on Human Rights and Climate Change with the former President of the UN Human Rights Council, Ambassador Martin Uhumoibhi.

 

 

The media seems preoccupied with star chasing. An announcement that tickets were being distributed for a meeting with American state of California governor Arnold Schwarzenger almost started a stampede through a main walkway between meeting rooms. There is little indication that the Rambo movie-star turned governor know very much about climate change.

 

 

Environmental stars like Al Gore, and Gro Bruntland have al commanded significant attention from the media.

 

 

As heads of state, parliament or congress members (especially form the ) arrive attention seems to shifting away from the negotiators and the negotiations to who is here, regardless of whether or not they have anything sensible to say about climate change.

 

 

 

The lines are as long as yesterday and NGO, press and even delegates are left standing in sub-zero temperatures for hours. Only the UN staff seems to have accorded themselves the courtesy of a fast line through security. In additi0on, Danish police continue to blame the situation on the UN, who in turn say they have nothing to do with it.

 

 

 

Entry to the Bella Center now requires secondary passes as NGOs have been whittled down to about 3,500 of 25,000 and a long wait in line. Tomorrow only 1,000 NGOs will be allowed in and Friday only 90, said UN officials who called the conference the most open conference ever...perhaps comparing it to closed Security Council sessions at UN Headquarters in New York where sometimes less than 50 government and UN representatives and no NGOs are admitted. One can only wonder how much a success COP15 might have been if the Danish had spend as much money on doing the right thing politically to stop or at leats mitigate or adapt to climate chnage as they appear to have spent on Security that strangles the life out of civil society.

 

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